Email, search, page A, then the next best purchase action
A shopper emails, searches the site, views page A, checks delivery, and needs a recommendation that is better than a generic discount.
A person emails in about a waterproof jacket, searches the website, views page A, checks product fit and delivery, then pauses. The team needs to decide whether to push purchase, route them to page C, ask for registration, or reply again before selling.
Runtime Query
The scenario is run as a query against comparable relationship sets.
A person emails in, searches the website, views page A for waterproof jackets, then looks at the product fit and delivery page. What should we do to get them to buy?
Run 2026-06-17-base-run / ecommerce-d2c/query-results/email-search-page-a.json
converted_purchase
Primary outcome
Highest-ranked outcome from the runtime query result.
0.6499
Best score
Runtime score for the primary action option.
4
Options
Primary plus alternative action options returned by the runtime.
Data Examples
- Email enquiry with product-fit intent
- Website search for waterproof trail jacket
- Page A product view and delivery/returns page view
- Synthetic prior purchase, page C, support, and account-registration outcomes
Event Path
- 01email_received
- 02website_search
- 03page_view: page-a
- 04page_view: delivery-returns
- 05purchase_completed in comparable paths
Scout Output
- Runtime generated Scout-shaped data items for the domain.
- Runtime generated Scout relationships and ordered attribution paths.
- Domain manifest cross-checks the journey, event, and relationship-set counts.
Fortress Output
- Runtime generated comparable relationship sets.
- Runtime returned ranked action options with scores, confidence labels, outcomes, and supporting relationship-set IDs.
- Runtime preserved synthetic-only and customer-data false caveats.
Ranked Outcomes
Fortress returns a primary recommendation and the credible alternatives.
Primary Recommendation
Send a specific product email with stock reassurance and direct checkout link.
Outcomeconverted_purchase
ConfidenceHigh
Score0.6499
The system does not only say 'sell'. It shows the best purchase route and the plausible non-purchase next steps with evidence.
Other Ranked Options
Option 2 - Medium - score 0.3383
Send a comparison link to page C because similar visitors bought after reading compatibility guidance.
Expected outcome: returned_to_page_c
Option 3 - Medium - score 0.3009
Reply with support resolution first, then send the product link; pushing checkout first reduced conversion in comparable paths.
Expected outcome: retained_after_support
Option 4 - Low - score 0.2652
Ask them to create an account so saved preferences and restock alerts can be used before discounting.
Expected outcome: account_registered
Elite LLM Handoff
Explain the purchase recommendation using the governed Fortress output and caveats.
governed_handoff:
- Goal: purchase
- Primary path: converted_purchase, score 0.6499, high confidence
- Supporting signals: email_enquiry, page_a, commercial_intent_page, purchase, website_search
- Runtime relationship sets returned: 8
- Domain journeys: 120; events: 600; relationship sets: 120Outcome Prompt JSON
{
"schema": "kynticai.elite.outcome-prompts.v1",
"caseStudyId": "ecommerce-d2c-next-best-action",
"domain": "Ecommerce / D2C",
"stakeholder": "Growth lead",
"runtimeQuery": "A person emails in, searches the website, views page A for waterproof jackets, then looks at the product fit and delivery page. What should we do to get them to buy?",
"promptContract": "You are Elite, the KynticAI recommendation-writing layer.\n\nYou receive governed Fortress output, not raw customer data. Use only the supplied relationship-set facts, scores, confidence labels, alternatives, caveats, and outcome goal.\n\nWrite a decisive operational recommendation for the accountable team. Your output must include:\n1. Recommended action.\n2. Why this action is supported by the comparable relationship sets.\n3. What to do now.\n4. When to choose one of the alternative actions.\n5. What outcome to capture so the system improves.\n\nRules:\n- Do not invent facts outside the governed handoff.\n- Do not promise revenue, retention, clinical, legal, financial, safety, or compliance outcomes.\n- Do not apologise for using synthetic demo data.\n- Be commercially useful, specific, and direct.\n- Keep human review and claim boundaries visible where the domain requires them.",
"governedFacts": [
"Goal: purchase",
"Primary path: converted_purchase, score 0.6499, high confidence",
"Supporting signals: email_enquiry, page_a, commercial_intent_page, purchase, website_search",
"Runtime relationship sets returned: 8",
"Domain journeys: 120; events: 600; relationship sets: 120"
],
"outcomePrompts": [
{
"rank": 1,
"outcome": "converted_purchase",
"action": "Send a specific product email with stock reassurance and direct checkout link.",
"confidence": "High",
"score": "0.6499",
"prompt": "You are Elite, the KynticAI recommendation-writing layer.\n\nUse only the governed Fortress handoff below. Do not invent facts.\n\nCase study: Email, search, page A, then the next best purchase action\nDomain: Ecommerce / D2C\nStakeholder: Growth lead\nRuntime query: A person emails in, searches the website, views page A for waterproof jackets, then looks at the product fit and delivery page. What should we do to get them to buy?\n\nGoverned facts:\n- Goal: purchase\n- Primary path: converted_purchase, score 0.6499, high confidence\n- Supporting signals: email_enquiry, page_a, commercial_intent_page, purchase, website_search\n- Runtime relationship sets returned: 8\n- Domain journeys: 120; events: 600; relationship sets: 120\n\nCandidate outcome to explain:\n- Rank: 1\n- Outcome: converted_purchase\n- Action: Send a specific product email with stock reassurance and direct checkout link.\n- Confidence: High\n- Score: 0.6499\n- Evidence summary: Comparable relationship sets ended in converted_purchase and share signals such as email_enquiry, page_a, commercial_intent_page, purchase, website_search.\n- Supporting relationship sets: set-87feb2cff218, set-f71fc9ea58fe, set-fa8baf718b14, set-68a546a52b3e, set-97e49a56bf80\n\nWrite the operational recommendation for this outcome.\nInclude why the comparable relationship sets support it, what the team should do now, when this outcome should be chosen over the other ranked options, and what reviewed outcome must be captured next.",
"expectedTextOutput": "Recommended action: Send a specific product email with stock reassurance and direct checkout link.\n\nWhy this is supported: Fortress ranked converted_purchase first with score 0.6499 and high confidence. Comparable relationship sets ended in converted_purchase and share signals such as email_enquiry, page_a, commercial_intent_page, purchase, website_search. The supporting relationship sets are set-87feb2cff218, set-f71fc9ea58fe, set-fa8baf718b14, set-68a546a52b3e, set-97e49a56bf80.\n\nWhat to do now: brief the growth lead with the runtime query, the shared signals (email_enquiry, page_a, commercial_intent_page, purchase, website_search), and the exact action. Keep the action specific to this scenario rather than turning it into a generic campaign or workflow rule.\n\nWhen to choose an alternative: switch if the live evidence is closer to returned_to_page_c (Send a comparison link to page C because similar visitors bought after reading compatibility guidance.); retained_after_support (Reply with support resolution first, then send the product link; pushing checkout first reduced conversion in comparable paths.); account_registered (Ask them to create an account so saved preferences and restock alerts can be used before discounting.).\n\nOutcome to capture: record the action taken, the reviewed outcome, and any contradictory signal so the next Scout/Fortress comparison has stronger evidence."
},
{
"rank": 2,
"outcome": "returned_to_page_c",
"action": "Send a comparison link to page C because similar visitors bought after reading compatibility guidance.",
"confidence": "Medium",
"score": "0.3383",
"prompt": "You are Elite, the KynticAI recommendation-writing layer.\n\nUse only the governed Fortress handoff below. Do not invent facts.\n\nCase study: Email, search, page A, then the next best purchase action\nDomain: Ecommerce / D2C\nStakeholder: Growth lead\nRuntime query: A person emails in, searches the website, views page A for waterproof jackets, then looks at the product fit and delivery page. What should we do to get them to buy?\n\nGoverned facts:\n- Goal: purchase\n- Primary path: converted_purchase, score 0.6499, high confidence\n- Supporting signals: email_enquiry, page_a, commercial_intent_page, purchase, website_search\n- Runtime relationship sets returned: 8\n- Domain journeys: 120; events: 600; relationship sets: 120\n\nCandidate outcome to explain:\n- Rank: 2\n- Outcome: returned_to_page_c\n- Action: Send a comparison link to page C because similar visitors bought after reading compatibility guidance.\n- Confidence: Medium\n- Score: 0.3383\n- Evidence summary: Comparable relationship sets ended in returned_to_page_c and share signals such as comparison, page_c, purchase_later, search.\n- Supporting relationship sets: set-db1337adcf62\n\nWrite the operational recommendation for this outcome.\nInclude why the comparable relationship sets support it, what the team should do now, when this outcome should be chosen over the other ranked options, and what reviewed outcome must be captured next.",
"expectedTextOutput": "Alternative action: Send a comparison link to page C because similar visitors bought after reading compatibility guidance.\n\nWhy this route exists: Fortress returned returned_to_page_c at rank 2 with score 0.3383 and medium confidence. Comparable relationship sets ended in returned_to_page_c and share signals such as comparison, page_c, purchase_later, search. The supporting relationship sets are set-db1337adcf62.\n\nWhen to use it: choose this instead of the primary route when the live evidence matches comparison, page_c, purchase_later, search more closely than the current top-ranked outcome.\n\nWhat to do now: make the action explicit for the growth lead, preserve the caveat for this domain, and avoid inventing extra facts beyond the governed handoff.\n\nOutcome to capture: record whether returned_to_page_c happened and feed that reviewed result back into the relationship-set evidence."
},
{
"rank": 3,
"outcome": "retained_after_support",
"action": "Reply with support resolution first, then send the product link; pushing checkout first reduced conversion in comparable paths.",
"confidence": "Medium",
"score": "0.3009",
"prompt": "You are Elite, the KynticAI recommendation-writing layer.\n\nUse only the governed Fortress handoff below. Do not invent facts.\n\nCase study: Email, search, page A, then the next best purchase action\nDomain: Ecommerce / D2C\nStakeholder: Growth lead\nRuntime query: A person emails in, searches the website, views page A for waterproof jackets, then looks at the product fit and delivery page. What should we do to get them to buy?\n\nGoverned facts:\n- Goal: purchase\n- Primary path: converted_purchase, score 0.6499, high confidence\n- Supporting signals: email_enquiry, page_a, commercial_intent_page, purchase, website_search\n- Runtime relationship sets returned: 8\n- Domain journeys: 120; events: 600; relationship sets: 120\n\nCandidate outcome to explain:\n- Rank: 3\n- Outcome: retained_after_support\n- Action: Reply with support resolution first, then send the product link; pushing checkout first reduced conversion in comparable paths.\n- Confidence: Medium\n- Score: 0.3009\n- Evidence summary: Comparable relationship sets ended in retained_after_support and share signals such as delivery_delay, email_again, retention_risk, support_ticket.\n- Supporting relationship sets: set-2e608f8185f1\n\nWrite the operational recommendation for this outcome.\nInclude why the comparable relationship sets support it, what the team should do now, when this outcome should be chosen over the other ranked options, and what reviewed outcome must be captured next.",
"expectedTextOutput": "Alternative action: Reply with support resolution first, then send the product link; pushing checkout first reduced conversion in comparable paths.\n\nWhy this route exists: Fortress returned retained_after_support at rank 3 with score 0.3009 and medium confidence. Comparable relationship sets ended in retained_after_support and share signals such as delivery_delay, email_again, retention_risk, support_ticket. The supporting relationship sets are set-2e608f8185f1.\n\nWhen to use it: choose this instead of the primary route when the live evidence matches delivery_delay, email_again, retention_risk, support_ticket more closely than the current top-ranked outcome.\n\nWhat to do now: make the action explicit for the growth lead, preserve the caveat for this domain, and avoid inventing extra facts beyond the governed handoff.\n\nOutcome to capture: record whether retained_after_support happened and feed that reviewed result back into the relationship-set evidence."
},
{
"rank": 4,
"outcome": "account_registered",
"action": "Ask them to create an account so saved preferences and restock alerts can be used before discounting.",
"confidence": "Low",
"score": "0.2652",
"prompt": "You are Elite, the KynticAI recommendation-writing layer.\n\nUse only the governed Fortress handoff below. Do not invent facts.\n\nCase study: Email, search, page A, then the next best purchase action\nDomain: Ecommerce / D2C\nStakeholder: Growth lead\nRuntime query: A person emails in, searches the website, views page A for waterproof jackets, then looks at the product fit and delivery page. What should we do to get them to buy?\n\nGoverned facts:\n- Goal: purchase\n- Primary path: converted_purchase, score 0.6499, high confidence\n- Supporting signals: email_enquiry, page_a, commercial_intent_page, purchase, website_search\n- Runtime relationship sets returned: 8\n- Domain journeys: 120; events: 600; relationship sets: 120\n\nCandidate outcome to explain:\n- Rank: 4\n- Outcome: account_registered\n- Action: Ask them to create an account so saved preferences and restock alerts can be used before discounting.\n- Confidence: Low\n- Score: 0.2652\n- Evidence summary: Comparable relationship sets ended in account_registered and share signals such as account_benefit, email_enquiry, registration, size_question.\n- Supporting relationship sets: set-a3d51f043f68\n\nWrite the operational recommendation for this outcome.\nInclude why the comparable relationship sets support it, what the team should do now, when this outcome should be chosen over the other ranked options, and what reviewed outcome must be captured next.",
"expectedTextOutput": "Alternative action: Ask them to create an account so saved preferences and restock alerts can be used before discounting.\n\nWhy this route exists: Fortress returned account_registered at rank 4 with score 0.2652 and low confidence. Comparable relationship sets ended in account_registered and share signals such as account_benefit, email_enquiry, registration, size_question. The supporting relationship sets are set-a3d51f043f68.\n\nWhen to use it: choose this instead of the primary route when the live evidence matches account_benefit, email_enquiry, registration, size_question more closely than the current top-ranked outcome.\n\nWhat to do now: make the action explicit for the growth lead, preserve the caveat for this domain, and avoid inventing extra facts beyond the governed handoff.\n\nOutcome to capture: record whether account_registered happened and feed that reviewed result back into the relationship-set evidence."
}
]
}Elite Textual Recommendation
Recommended action: Send a specific product email with stock reassurance and direct checkout link.
Why this is supported: Fortress ranked converted_purchase first with score 0.6499 and high confidence. Comparable relationship sets ended in converted_purchase and share signals such as email_enquiry, page_a, commercial_intent_page, purchase, website_search. The supporting relationship sets are set-87feb2cff218, set-f71fc9ea58fe, set-fa8baf718b14, set-68a546a52b3e, set-97e49a56bf80.
What to do now: brief the growth lead with the runtime query, the shared signals (email_enquiry, page_a, commercial_intent_page, purchase, website_search), and the exact action. Keep the action specific to this scenario rather than turning it into a generic campaign or workflow rule.
When to choose an alternative: switch if the live evidence is closer to returned_to_page_c (Send a comparison link to page C because similar visitors bought after reading compatibility guidance.); retained_after_support (Reply with support resolution first, then send the product link; pushing checkout first reduced conversion in comparable paths.); account_registered (Ask them to create an account so saved preferences and restock alerts can be used before discounting.).
Outcome to capture: record the action taken, the reviewed outcome, and any contradictory signal so the next Scout/Fortress comparison has stronger evidence.
Generated Elite Action Brief
- 01Recommended action: Send a specific product email with stock reassurance and direct checkout link.
- 02Evidence: Comparable relationship sets ended in converted_purchase and share signals such as email_enquiry, page_a, commercial_intent_page, purchase, website_search.
- 03Primary action: Send a specific product email with stock reassurance and direct checkout link.
- 04Primary expected outcome: converted_purchase
- 05Alternatives: returned_to_page_c: Send a comparison link to page C because similar visitors bought after reading compatibility guidance. | retained_after_support: Reply with support resolution first, then send the product link; pushing checkout first reduced conversion in comparable paths. | account_registered: Ask them to create an account so saved preferences and restock alerts can be used before discounting.
- 06Capture the reviewed outcome and feed it back into the relationship-set evidence.
Reviewed outcome loop
- Capture which ranked action was taken.
- Record whether the expected outcome happened.
- Feed the reviewed outcome back into the next relationship-set comparison.
Boundary
Synthetic ecommerce demo only. It is not live customer behaviour, customer ROI, or a guaranteed conversion model.